昨日リンクしたFalkenblogエントリでは、従来の理論と異なるリスクとリターンの関係を論じた論文をもう一本示していた。
以下はその論文「Betting Against Beta」の要旨。著者はAndrea Frazzini(AQR Capital Management, LLC)とLasse Heje Pedersen(New York University (NYU); Copenhagen Business School; AQR Capital Management)。
We present a model with leverage and margin constraints that vary across investors and time. We find evidence consistent with each of the model’s five central predictions: (1) Since constrained investors bid up high-beta assets, high beta is associated with low alpha, as we find empirically for U.S. equities, 20 international equity markets, Treasury bonds, corporate bonds, and futures; (2) A betting-against-beta (BAB) factor, which is long leveraged low beta assets and short high-beta assets, produces significant positive risk-adjusted returns; (3) When funding constraints tighten, the return of the BAB factor is low; (4) Increased funding liquidity risk compresses betas toward one; (5) More constrained investors hold riskier assets.
(拙訳)
本稿では、レバレッジと証拠金の制約が投資家によって異なり、かつ時系列的に変動するモデルを提示する。我々は、このモデルの次の5つの主要な予測と整合的な実証結果を見い出した: